Political observer of the Belteleradiocompany Andrei Krivosheev, who was present at the meeting with Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko, published latest data on the president’s trust ranking, which is reportedly 76%.
According to Krivosheev, the conversation with the president was honest. The document “that really describes the situation in Belarus” by the Operative Analytical Centre (OAC) was made public to journalists and political scientists.
“I publish this analysis uncensored. For the first time in my 20-year career, I’m sharing document number 1 without its declassification,” writes Krivosheev on his Facebook page.
As follows from the document, it was prepared on behalf of the Belarusian leader. 21,000 people took part in the sample.
“In March, the ranking of the head of state started to fall sharply and amounted to 60%. Moreover, in Minsk it was traditionally lower by another 8 percent,” the document reads.
At the same time, according to a social survey conducted by the Institute of Sociology of the National Academy of Sciences in March-April this year, Lukashenko’s level of trust in Minsk was 24%. 11% of respondents trusted the Central Election Commission (CEC).
Analysts explain the dissatisfaction by the measures taken during the pandemic (“despite their generally high efficiency”), insufficient information about the danger of the situation and underestimation, according to citizens, of statistics on patients.
Besides, the global deterioration in the socio-economic situation influenced the mood.
However, “as the situation clears,” as well as the invitation of WHO experts (for evaluation of the situation in Belarus – BelarusFeed note), the openness of the healthcare system and a number of other reasons, the ranking of authorities “began to gradually recover.”
According to the analytical note,“by the end of June 2020 the level of trust in the head of state reached 76 percent”. It indicates that it is 5-7% higher in the Vitebsk, Mogilev, Minsk and Gomel regions and traditionally lower in Minsk, the Brest and Grodno regions.
According to the OAC, the ranking of all alternative presidential candidates “is currently about 16 percent combined.”
The document also indicates that funding for the headquarters of Babariko and Tikhanovskaya decreased, and Tsepkalo “radically” worsened his position by not having enough signatures.
Dmitriev, Cherechen and Kanopatskaya, according to pro-government experts, take part in the election “solely to increase their own recognition as political figures.”
“According to experts, the level of trust in the President of the Republic of Belarus can reach 80 percent in the near future, which virtually eliminates serious electoral risks during the election campaign, and also minimizes the possibility of other negative manifestations,” the experts conclude.
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