Belarus’ Population May Seriously Drop By 2050 – UN Report

In 2050 the population of Belarus will be 8,571,000 people, according to the latest UN World Populaion Prospects report.

This is 897,000 people less than in 2017!

With roughly 83 million people being added to the world’s population every year, the upward trend in population size is expected to continue.

In 2017 world population has reached 7.5 billion, it is expected to reach 8.6 billion in 2030 and 9.8 billion in 2050.

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Meanwhile, Belarus as well as many other countries of Eastern Europe is set to experience a serious decline of population.

Top countries by decline

The expected decline of population Eastern Europe will be about 18.5% on average in the next thirty years.

Bulgaria, Latvia, and Moldova are predicted to see the highest decreases, of 23%, 22% and 19% respectively.

Then go Croatia, Serbia, Ukraine, Poland, Lithuania and Romania, where population will decrease by more than 15% by 2050.


The report indicates two major reasons for the rapid decline in in the population of Belarus and other countries.

First is a relatively low birthrate, while the second is purely economic that triggers mass migration.

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“Fertility for Europe as a whole is projected to increase from 1.6 births per woman in 2010-2015 to nearly 1.8 in 2045-2050.

Such an increase, however, will not prevent a likely contraction in the size of the total population,” the report notes.

Other key findings

A reduction in the fertility level results not only in a slower pace of population growth but also in a more aged population.

In Europe, 25 per cent of the population is already aged 60 years or over and that proportion is projected to reach 35%  in 2050.

The number of persons aged 80 or over is projected to triple by 2050.

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Ten countries are expected to account collectively for more than half of the world’s projected population increase over the period 2017-2050.

Among them are India, Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Pakistan, Ethiopia, the United Republic of Tanzania, the United States of America, Uganda, Indonesia and Egypt.